blog
essays on economics, data, and public policy.
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2025
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No country for young men: age-earnings profiles by birth cohort and sex in Spain
Spain's younger generations are not enjoying higher wages than their parents did at the same age. In fact, each successive male cohort since the 1960s appears to do progressively worse: men born in the 1990s, now in…
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A demographic projection of Spain's native-born population: quantifying the stock of second-generation immigrants
Spain's demographic structure is changing — and fast. In 1998, the stock of foreign-born residents was just 2.9% of the total population. By 2024, this figure had skyrocketed to 18.2%, with nearly one in five residents…
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Montoya va donde brilla (in praise of not belonging)
Let’s start with the circus. La Isla de las Tentaciones — Spain’s answer to Temptation Island — is not a reality TV show. It’s a social experiment designed to strip love down to its most pathetic, voyeuristic core. The…
2024
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Wellbeing I: Introduction
A brilliant surgeon has five patients, each in need of a different organ transplant. All five will die without these transplants, and suitable organs are not available. In the next room, there is a healthy person who…
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Predicting socio-economic outcomes with Google Trends
Everybody lies (sometimes). This is both a universal truth and the title of a book by Seth Stephens-Davidowitz, former data scientist at Google and PhD in economics from Harvard. Everybody lies is an incredibly fun read…
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A modern IDE for Stata with VSCode + Quarto
Over the last few decades, applied microeconomic research has witnessed what is widely termed as the credibility revolution, a paradigm shift that emphasized the importance of experimental and quasi-experimental methods…